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New York, New York eviction risk overview

New York, NY Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Kings County · Population 8,483,844

In 2026
Risk score
9.7
VERY HIGH

100th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing steadily

Min4.1 Average6.6 Now9.7
10 5 1976 · score 4.4 1977 · score 4.4 1978 · score 4.3 1979 · score 4.3 1980 · score 4.3 1981 · score 4.3 1982 · score 4.4 1983 · score 4.4 1984 · score 4.3 1985 · score 4.2 1986 · score 4.2 1987 · score 4.1 1988 · score 4.5 1989 · score 4.7 1990 · score 4.8 1991 · score 4.9 1992 · score 5.6 1993 · score 5.6 1994 · score 5.6 1995 · score 5.6 1996 · score 6.2 1997 · score 6.3 1998 · score 6.4 1999 · score 6.5 2000 · score 6.5 2001 · score 6.5 2002 · score 6.6 2003 · score 6.7 2004 · score 6.6 2005 · score 6.6 2006 · score 6.6 2007 · score 6.6 2008 · score 7.3 2009 · score 7.6 2010 · score 7.7 2011 · score 7.8 2012 · score 7.9 2013 · score 8.0 2014 · score 8.0 2015 · score 8.0 2016 · score 8.2 2017 · score 8.2 2018 · score 8.2 2019 · score 9.4 2020 · score 9.9 2021 · score 9.9 2022 · score 9.9 2023 · score 9.9 2024 · score 9.9 2025 · score 9.8 2026 · score 9.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.0 Regional 8.0 State 7.3 Economic 7.8 Supply 9.4 Rent Control 6.9 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 9.8 Housing 7.1 9.7 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +44.0% (2024)
    8.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.0
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    17.4% poverty · 7.7% unemp.
    7.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,821 average · 67.2% renters
    9.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    31.3% of income on rent
    6.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    417 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    67.2% renters
    9.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Click any city to see its score

How New York compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Kings County
Moderate
#1 of 1 cities
Rank in county, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 cities in Kings County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Very High
#4 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
New York risk score vs. county / state / U.S.New York: 9.79.7New YorkThis cityCounty: 9.79.7Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 9.7
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 9.7/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 417d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,821/mo. A contested eviction takes 417 days and costs $22,287–$36,699 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 67.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 8,483,844 residents, 67.2% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 17.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8 and 8 (Dem margin +44.0% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 7.1, rent-control risk 6.9. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7.8. Supply constraint: 9.4. The numbers behind those: 17.4% poverty, 7.7% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

New York sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Syracuse, NY · 383d · ~$30.9k all-in ($81/day) · score 8.7 Syracuse Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle New York
New York · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in New York, NY

Landlording in New York, New York, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.7/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

New York is a city of 8,483,844 residents where 67.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 7.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,821/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How New York eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in New York closes 417 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of New York's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in New York runs $22,287 to $36,699 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 417 days of typical timeline and $1,821/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.8/10 in New York, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in New York: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $36,699 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in New York

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
What people miss about post-HSTPA practice: the 2019 reforms killed vacancy decontrol, capped MCI and IAI increases, eliminated preferential-rent reversion, and rebuilt the security-deposit rules around a one-month ceiling. Owners who modeled their numbers off pre-2019 expectations are still adjusting. Add the 2024 Good Cause expansion (which covers landlords above 10 units with rents below the threshold) and the math for buying in NYC has fundamentally shifted toward operators with long holding periods and conservative pro formas.
Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Practical reality: file in Housing Court expecting six months minimum, longer in the Bronx and Brooklyn. Audit your predicate notices against RPL 226-c. Use the 30-60-90 day scaling correctly based on tenancy length. If the unit is rent stabilized, your renewal offers go through DHCR rules and you cannot freelance. The cases that move fastest are commercial holdovers and nuisance fact patterns, not nonpayment.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for non-payment?

The "fastest" in New York City is still very slow. Even in a best-case, uncontested scenario where a tenant moves out after the 14-day notice, you're looking at a minimum of 30-60 days once you factor in notice periods and court filing. With the typical timeline being 417 days, "fast" is relative. Don't expect a quick resolution.

Q2

Can I just change the locks if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely NOT. This is an illegal lockout and comes with severe penalties in New York. You could face fines, civil lawsuits, and be ordered to let the tenant back in. Always follow the legal eviction process through Housing Court. Self-help evictions are a major legal trap here.

Q3

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in New York City?

While you can technically represent yourself, it is highly, highly recommended you hire an attorney for any eviction in New York City. The process is incredibly complex, with many technicalities that can lead to your case being dismissed if not followed precisely. Given the high stakes (cost and time), a good attorney is an investment, not an expense.

Q4

What if my tenant claims they have a hardship and can't pay?

Housing Court judges are very sympathetic to tenant hardships. They will often grant adjournments or payment plans if a tenant can demonstrate a legitimate hardship. You need to be prepared for this. While compassion is good, you also need to protect your investment. Your attorney can help you navigate these situations and ensure any agreements are legally binding.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 9.7/10 places New York in the 100th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.