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Dulles Town Center, VA Eviction Risk Score Fairfax · Virginia · Pop. 5,464

Updated
● Moderate Risk

Dulles Town Center, VA sits at 5.4/10 — Moderate risk. 27.2% rent burden, 70.0% renters, ~53-day typical timeline.

★★☆ Medium confidence · 91%
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Score vs. benchmarks
Dulles Town Center
5.4
Fairfax
4.9
Virginia avg
5.0
National avg
4.4
28.0%Tenant-law probabilityi
$1,821–5,075Typical eviction costi
53 daysTypical timelinei
$2,314HUD 2BR FMR '25i
$2,393Median renti
27.2%Rent burdeni
70.0%Rentersi

Location & regional heat

Low risk
High risk
Heat = surrounding cities. Click any dot to compare.

Sub-score breakdown

Each component on a 1–10 scale. Ticks mark the 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles nationally.

Local political climatei
7.2
Regional political climatei
7.2
State political climate
3.2
Economic stressi
5.1
Supply constrainti
9.6
Rent-control riski
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
3.0
Tenant organizing strengthi
9.7
Housing court bias
4.3
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)i
0.0
Own rentals in or near Dulles Town Center?
Free consultation — local rent-control exposure, notice requirements, and eviction defense risk.

About eviction risk in Dulles Town Center, VA

Dulles Town Center, VA has an eviction risk score of 5.4 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Fairfax and the state of Virginia. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 27.2% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Dulles Town Center is $2,393/month. About 70.0% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 7.2%, unemployment 4.3%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Fairfax voted Democratic by 38.3 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.4/10, Dulles Town Center is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

City Distance Population Risk score
Sterling, VA 1.4 mi 32,411 5.0
Kincora, VA 1.6 mi 1,008 5.8
Countryside, VA 2 mi 9,661 5.4
Cascades, VA 2.2 mi 12,357 5.2
Sugarland Run, VA 2.6 mi 12,629 5.2
Oak Grove, VA 2.8 mi 2,408 4.5
One Loudoun, VA 2.9 mi 3,309 4.8
Dranesville, VA 3 mi 11,828 5.0

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.

Landlord Guides for Virginia

Eviction Costs — Virginia →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Virginia →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Virginia →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Virginia →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Virginia →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry