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Merced, CA Eviction Risk Score Merced County · California · Population 91,953

6.4 Elevated
50.6%Tenant-law probability
$16,912–36,963Typical eviction cost
283 daysTypical timeline
$1,393Median gross rent
32.7%Rent burden
54.1%Renters

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
6.0
Dem margin +10.6% in 2020
Regional political climate
6.0
Dem margin +10.6% in 2020
State political climate
6.8
Economic stress
8.8
23.0% poverty · 12.3% unemployed
Supply constraint
8.6
$1,393 median rent · 54.1% renters
Rent-control risk
7.3
32.7% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
9.4
54.1% renters
Housing court bias
7.8

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

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About eviction risk in Merced, CA

Merced, CA has an eviction risk score of 6.4 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in Merced County and the state of California. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 32.7% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Merced is $1,393/month. About 54.1% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 23.0%, unemployment 12.3%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Merced County voted Democratic by 10.6 points — classified as moderately tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 6.4/10, Merced is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for California

Eviction Costs — California →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — California →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — California →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — California →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — California →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry