Merced County, California Eviction Risk: High
24 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Merced (8.6) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #7 of 58 CA counties
245k residents · 24 cities · 63 tracts
Merced County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord51.2%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Merced County, CA, tenants prevail in roughly 51.2% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline272dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Merced County, CA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 272 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$15.3–35.6klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Merced County, CA costs landlords $15,291 to $35,558 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,37432% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Merced County, CA is $1,374 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 32% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters46.3%of households46.3% of occupied housing units in Merced County, CA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty18.8%11.2% unemp.18.8% of Merced County, CA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 11.2%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Across Merced County's 24 cities, eviction-risk scores range from 7.4 to 8.6, with Atwater the highest-risk city at 6.9 and the county averaging 6.5.
Merced County ranks 22 of 58 California counties by eviction risk.How Merced County ranks in California
Landlord guides for California
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Merced | 91,953 | 8.6 | 32.7% | $1,393 | Dem |
| 002 | Los Banos | 47,593 | 8.5 | 35.7% | $1,557 | Dem |
| 003 | Atwater | 32,162 | 8.4 | 31.9% | $1,279 | Dem |
| 004 | Livingston | 14,606 | 8.3 | 28.3% | $1,315 | Dem |
| 005 | Winton | 11,797 | 8.3 | 32.3% | $1,156 | Dem |
| 006 | Delhi | 11,009 | 8.3 | 25.8% | $1,274 | Dem |
| 007 | Gustine | 6,133 | 8.1 | 21.6% | $1,395 | Dem |
| 008 | Hilmar-Irwin | 6,132 | 8.1 | 22.5% | $1,536 | Dem |
| 009 | McSwain | 5,783 | 7.7 | 21.9% | $1,516 | Dem |
| 010 | Dos Palos | 5,765 | 8.4 | 26.6% | $1,125 | Dem |
| 011 | Planada | 3,506 | 8.4 | 35.4% | $1,036 | Dem |
| 012 | Santa Nella | 2,107 | 7.8 | 21.6% | $1,028 | Dem |
| 013 | Le Grand | 1,636 | 8.4 | 30.9% | $866 | Dem |
| 014 | South Dos Palos | 1,102 | 8.4 | 51.0% | $1,585 | Dem |
| 015 | University of California-Merced | 724 | 8.5 | 31.8% | $1,333 | Dem |
| 016 | El Nido | 510 | 8.0 | 48.0% | $950 | Dem |
| 017 | Ballico | 447 | 8.4 | 51.0% | $892 | Dem |
| 018 | Cressey | 386 | 7.9 | 27.3% | $984 | Dem |
| 019 | Bear Creek | 346 | 7.6 | 31.8% | $1,333 | Dem |
| 020 | Dos Palos Y | 273 | 8.5 | 21.8% | $705 | Dem |
| 021 | Volta | 268 | 8.5 | 31.8% | $1,333 | Dem |
| 022 | Snelling | 243 | 8.1 | 17.5% | $988 | Dem |
| 023 | Stevinson | 144 | 7.9 | 29.6% | $1,036 | Dem |
| 024 | Tuttle | 73 | 7.4 | 31.8% | $1,333 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Merced County
Top 1 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Merced County posts an average eviction-risk score of 8.6/10 (High), placing it 22nd of 58 California eviction laws counties, with 21 counties carrying higher risk and 36 sitting in more landlord-friendly territory. That middle-of-the-pack state ranking obscures conditions that are genuinely challenging on the ground: nearly half of all households rent (46.3% renter share), the average rent burden sits at 31.7% of income, and a poverty rate of 18.8% creates real collection pressure even before a formal eviction action begins. Average asking rents of $1,374 leave little cushion when a tenant falls behind.
Across all 24 cities in the county, scores range from 7.4 to 8.6/10, meaning even the most favorable markets here still land in the Elevated tier. Landlords entering Merced County should plan for active management, careful tenant screening, and a realistic understanding of California eviction laws's procedural timeline. Because proceedings here can stretch and carry real out-of-pocket costs, working with a professional property manager who knows the local courts and notice requirements is one of the most effective ways to reduce exposure.
The cities inside Merced County
The highest-risk concentration is in and around the county's smaller communities. Atwater, with a population of 32,162, tops the riskiest-cities list at 6.9/10. Winton (population 11,797) and Hilmar-Irwin (population 6,132) both score 8.1/10, joined at that level by Planada, Santa Nella, South Dos Palos, El Nido, and Dos Palos Y. These communities combine elevated poverty, high renter shares, and limited economic buffers, making payment disruptions more common and recoveries slower.
The county seat, Merced, sits at 8.6/10 with a population of 91,953 and represents a more stable, if still active, operating environment. Los Banos (8.5/10, population 47,593) and Livingston (8.3/10, population 14,606) offer comparatively better conditions, with Livingston posting the lowest score in the county. The takeaway is that risk in Merced County is genuinely hyper-local: a portfolio spread across Atwater and Livingston faces materially different risk profiles within the same county.
State-level laws that apply here
Every property in Merced County operates under California state law. For non-payment of rent, curable lease violations, and incurable violations (nuisance, illegal use, substantial damage), California eviction laws requires a 3-day notice under CCP § 1161. No-cause terminations require 30 days for tenancies under one year and 60 days for tenancies of one year or more under Civ. Code § 1946.1. Just-cause no-fault terminations, such as owner move-in or substantial remodel, also require 60 days under Civ. Code § 1946.2. California eviction laws's AB 1482 mandates just cause for termination and caps annual rent increases at 5% plus CPI, with a maximum of 10%, applying to most residential properties statewide. Understanding the full California eviction laws eviction process before acquiring any unit here is essential, because uncontested cases run 35 to 60 days and contested matters can extend to 75 to 180 days.
On California eviction costs: court filing fees run $240 to $435, sheriff lockout fees add $75 to $145, and attorney fees typically range from $1,500 to $4,500, making a single contested eviction a substantial expense. Landlords must give 24 hours notice before entry under Cal. Civ. Code § 1941. Source-of-income discrimination is prohibited, and tenant-screening adverse-action notices are required under California eviction laws Civil Rights Department (CRD) rules.
With a poverty rate of 18.8% and nearly half of all residents renting, financial stress among tenants is a structural feature of this market, not an exception; the city-by-city grid above breaks down where that pressure is most concentrated across Merced County's 24 cities.
Historical eviction filings in Merced County
From 2010 to 2017, eviction filings in Merced County declined 42%. The peak was 1,635 filings in 2010.1
- 1,6352010
- 1,635Peak (2010)
- 9502017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Merced County compares
Within California eviction laws, Merced County's eviction-risk score of 6.5 ranks 22 of 58 counties. It tracks closely with its peers: Kings County at 6.49, El Dorado County at 6.58, and Solano County at 6.67, while sitting below Butte County at 6.8 and above Humboldt County at 6.35.
For landlords, that places Merced County in the middle of the statewide pack, an Elevated market where California eviction laws's AB 1482 rent cap and just-cause rules apply uniformly even as the underlying county score stays moderate.