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Great Notch, NJ Eviction Risk Score Essex County · New Jersey · Population 4,008 · Updated

6.7 Elevated
★★★ High confidence
50.2%Tenant-law probabilityi
$9,243–23,774Typical eviction costi
177 daysTypical timelinei
22.61%Eviction filing ratei
$2,140HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$2,070Median gross renti
24.8%Rent burdeni
22.7%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
8.0
Dem margin +55.4% in 2020
Regional political climate
8.0
Dem margin +55.4% in 2020
State political climate
6.8
Economic stress
5.4
1.4% poverty · 10.4% unemployed
Supply constraint
7.0
$2,070 median rent · 22.7% renters
Rent-control risk
3.0
24.8% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
5.0
22.7% renters
Housing court bias
2.5
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
9.7
22.61 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -3.3% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($2,140)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

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About eviction risk in Great Notch, NJ

Great Notch, NJ has an eviction risk score of 6.7 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in Essex County and the state of New Jersey. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 24.8% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Great Notch is $2,070/month. About 22.7% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 1.4%, unemployment 10.4%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Essex County voted Democratic by 55.4 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 6.7/10, Great Notch is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for New Jersey

Eviction Costs — New Jersey →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — New Jersey →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — New Jersey →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — New Jersey →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — New Jersey →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry