Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston
Tract 17031812302 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,818 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031812302 covers part of the Downtown area of Oak Park, IL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 20% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$138,793
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 41.8967, -87.8015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
4.6
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 14%Grade B
- 86%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2008)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.3 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,333, 16% below the Oak Park average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 83 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031812302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031812302?
Census tract 17031812302 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031812302?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031812302?
2.8% of residents in tract 17031812302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,818.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031812302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 80th, minority 46th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 17031812302 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031812302 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031812302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031812302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.44% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031812302 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031812302 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031812302 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Evanston at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031812302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Hemingway District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Southtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Oak Park Arts District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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