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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,847 of 84,120 nationally

Southampton Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pimmit Hills

Tract 51059471100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,697 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51059471100 sits in the Southampton Forest neighborhood of Pimmit Hills, Virginia. It has a population of 6,697 and an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). 23% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 10% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,219/month against a median household income of $168,972 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 25% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,347
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$168,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Southampton Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Pimmit Hills
Moderate
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank — 12th percentileBottomTop
#242 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank — 28th percentileBottomTop
#1,584 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pimmit Hills and the region

Centroid at 38.9105, -77.1976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southampton Forest scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pimmit Hills
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,219 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pimmit Hills
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pimmit Hills
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pimmit Hills
2.4

How Southampton Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southampton Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 471100Pimmit Hills: 4.14.1Pimmit Hillsparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 70Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2012)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594711002011: 19 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059471100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471100?

Census tract 51059471100 in the Southampton Forest neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059471100?

Median gross rent is $2,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471100?

1.1% of residents in tract 51059471100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,697.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 44th, minority 70th, housing 24th.

Q5

Is tract 51059471100 considered part of Southampton Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471100 fall within Southampton Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 70 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059471100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.17% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059471100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059471100 compare to Pimmit Hills overall?

Tract 51059471100 scores 4.7/10 — higher than the parent city of Pimmit Hills at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pimmit Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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