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Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Hercules Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06013359203 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 7,200

Here is how census tract 06013359203, in Hercules, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 7,200. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $136,712 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 13% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,351
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$136,712

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Hercules
Elevated
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#191 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,760 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hercules and the region

Centroid at 38.0085, -122.2564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hercules scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hercules
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hercules
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hercules
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hercules
5.8

How Hercules compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hercules risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 359203Hercules: 8.18.1Herculesparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hercules

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hercules, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013359203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013359203?

Census tract 06013359203 in Hercules scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013359203?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013359203?

6.9% of residents in tract 06013359203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,200.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013359203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 27th, minority 81th, housing 58th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013359203 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013359203 compare to Hercules overall?

Tract 06013359203 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Hercules at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hercules; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hercules

Top eight tracts in Hercules ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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