Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Isabella Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06029005205 · Kern, CA · pop 3,714 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Lake Isabella
How risky is Lake Isabella in Kern County for landlords? Census tract 06029005205 scores 7.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 83% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,133 monthly, set against $26,550 in average yearly household income, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,638
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate45.4%
Median income$26,550
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Isabella and the region
Centroid at 35.6175, -118.4523 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Isabella scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Isabella
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
45.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Isabella
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Isabella
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Isabella
9.5
How Lake Isabella compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.2%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.7%Food insecurity
- 50.8%SNAP enrollment
- 19.7%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 24.9%Frequent mental distress
- 53.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Isabella
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Isabella, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029005205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029005205?
Census tract 06029005205 in Lake Isabella scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029005205?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029005205?
45.4% of residents in tract 06029005205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029005205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 98th, minority 44th, housing 60th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06029005205 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06029005205 compare to Lake Isabella overall?
Tract 06029005205 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Isabella at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Isabella; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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