Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Guerneville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06097153709 · Sonoma, CA · pop 1,576 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Guerneville
For landlords sizing up Guerneville, census tract 06097153709 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,459 a month against an average household income of $101,138 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units719
Renter share44.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$101,138
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guerneville and the region
Centroid at 38.5481, -123.0242 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guerneville scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guerneville
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guerneville
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guerneville
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guerneville
6.7
How Guerneville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guerneville
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Guerneville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sonoma County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06097153709
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153709?
Census tract 06097153709 in Guerneville scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06097153709?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153709?
8.4% of residents in tract 06097153709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153709?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 22th, minority 40th, housing 42th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06097153709 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06097153709 compare to Guerneville overall?
Tract 06097153709 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Guerneville at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guerneville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Guerneville
Top eight tracts in Guerneville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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