Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Gulfport Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103028403 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,949 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12103028403 covers part of the Gulfport area of Gulfport, FL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,949 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,886
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$55,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gulfport and the region
Centroid at 27.7416, -82.7107 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulfport scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gulfport
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,585 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gulfport
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gulfport
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gulfport
7.6
How Gulfport compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 33%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 34Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulfport
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Set annual rent against average income of $55,208 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,585, close to the Gulfport average.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028403?
Census tract 12103028403 in the Gulfport neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028403?
Median gross rent is $1,585/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028403?
16.1% of residents in tract 12103028403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,949.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 43th, minority 17th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028403 considered part of Gulfport?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028403 fall within Gulfport (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103028403 compare to Gulfport overall?
Tract 12103028403 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Gulfport at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gulfport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103028403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gulfport
Top eight tracts in Gulfport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related