Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Shearwater Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12109020907 · St. Johns, FL · pop 9,771 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Shearwater in St. Johns is where census tract 12109020907 sits, home to 9,771 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 3.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #75,053 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,225 a month while the average household earns $148,354 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.5

Lower

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 9% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units3,362

Renter share16.7%

SVI overall0.07

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$148,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Johns and the region

Centroid at 30.0344, -81.5531 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shearwater scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

State baseline

1.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.7

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,225 rent vs county FMR

7.9

Rent control risk

State baseline

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

State baseline

4.0

Housing court bias

State baseline

5.0

How Shearwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shearwater

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020907

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020907?

Census tract 12109020907 in the Shearwater neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12109020907?

Median gross rent is $2,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020907?

4.7% of residents in tract 12109020907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,771.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 13th, minority 41th, housing 3th.

Is tract 12109020907 considered part of Shearwater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020907 fall within Shearwater (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).