Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Saylorville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 19153010500 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,772 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Saylorville
The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 19153010500 reflects conditions in Saylorville, Iowa. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $742 a month while the average household earns $78,250 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,495
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$78,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
National
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saylorville and the region
Centroid at 41.6613, -93.6276 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saylorville scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saylorville
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$742 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saylorville
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saylorville
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saylorville
6.1
How Saylorville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 10 yrs
- 10.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2006)
- 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saylorville
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saylorville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 10.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.0% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153010500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010500?
Census tract 19153010500 in Saylorville scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153010500?
Median gross rent is $742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010500?
7.7% of residents in tract 19153010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,772.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 43th, minority 29th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153010500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153010500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.53% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 19153010500 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19153010500 compare to Saylorville overall?
Tract 19153010500 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Saylorville at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saylorville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 19153010500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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