Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Perryman
Tract 24025302400 · Harford County, MD · pop 4,384 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
For landlords sizing up the Forest Greens area of Perryman, census tract 24025302400 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,106 a month while the average household earns $80,380 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$80,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Perryman and the region
Centroid at 39.4647, -76.2159 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Greens scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Perryman
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Perryman
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Perryman
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Perryman
9.5
How Forest Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 18.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Greens
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Perryman, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harford County average of 6.0 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025302400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025302400?
Census tract 24025302400 in the Forest Greens neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025302400?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025302400?
19.8% of residents in tract 24025302400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,384.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025302400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 90th, minority 70th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 24025302400 considered part of Forest Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025302400 fall within Forest Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025302400 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025302400 compare to Perryman overall?
Tract 24025302400 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Perryman at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Perryman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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