Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Burnt Mills Knolls Eviction Risk: Elevated , White Oak
Tract 24031701509 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,967 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24031701509 (the Burnt Mills Knolls neighborhood of White Oak, Maryland) comes in at 7.8/10, the Elevated tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,753 a month against an average household income of $59,854 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,331
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$59,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across White Oak and the region
Centroid at 39.0331, -76.9768 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnt Mills Knolls scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from White Oak
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,753 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from White Oak
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from White Oak
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from White Oak
7.9
How Burnt Mills Knolls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.8%Housing insecurity
- 14.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.4%Food insecurity
- 22.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnt Mills Knolls
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from White Oak, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701509
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701509?
Census tract 24031701509 in the Burnt Mills Knolls neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701509?
Median gross rent is $1,753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701509?
22.5% of residents in tract 24031701509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,967.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701509?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 71th, minority 89th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701509 considered part of Burnt Mills Knolls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701509 fall within Burnt Mills Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701509 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701509 compare to White Oak overall?
Tract 24031701509 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of White Oak at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from White Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in White Oak
Top eight tracts in White Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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