Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36027140301 · Dutchess County, NY · pop 3,094 · 18% of tract blocks fall in Arlington

Census tract 36027140301 runs through Arlington. With 3,094 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,669 a month against an average household income of $59,240 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 18% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,827

Renter share59.2%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate20.8%

Median income$59,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 41.7038, -73.8924 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

20.8% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$1,669 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

5.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

9.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

4.7

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
11%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
11.5%Transit barriers
9.2%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dutchess County average of 5.7 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36027140301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36027140301?

Census tract 36027140301 in Arlington scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36027140301?

Median gross rent is $1,669/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36027140301?

20.8% of residents in tract 36027140301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,094.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36027140301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 90th, minority 62th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 36027140301 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36027140301 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 36027140301 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36027140301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.