Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Plains Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36027040001 · Dutchess County, NY · pop 4,734 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Dover Plains
Tract 36027040001 covers Dover Plains in New York. Home to 4,734 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,040 a month while the average household earns $93,571 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,688
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$93,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover Plains and the region
Centroid at 41.6999, -73.5657 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover Plains scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover Plains
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,040 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover Plains
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover Plains
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover Plains
6.5
How Dover Plains compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover Plains
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover Plains, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dutchess County average of 5.7 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36027040001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36027040001?
Census tract 36027040001 in Dover Plains scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36027040001?
Median gross rent is $1,040/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36027040001?
14.4% of residents in tract 36027040001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36027040001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 34th, minority 35th, housing 73th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36027040001 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36027040001 compare to Dover Plains overall?
Tract 36027040001 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Dover Plains at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover Plains; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related