Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Pawling Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36027110005 · Dutchess County, NY · pop 2,021
Census tract 36027110005 runs through Pawling in Dutchess County. With 2,021 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,310 monthly, set against $85,405 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units888
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$85,405
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pawling and the region
Centroid at 41.5636, -73.5993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pawling scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pawling
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pawling
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pawling
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pawling
5.8
How Pawling compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pawling
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pawling, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dutchess County average of 5.7 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36027110005
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36027110005?
Census tract 36027110005 in Pawling scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36027110005?
Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36027110005?
9.7% of residents in tract 36027110005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36027110005?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 62th, minority 48th, housing 71th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36027110005 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36027110005 compare to Pawling overall?
Tract 36027110005 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Pawling at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pawling; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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