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Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Grafton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39093095100 · Lorain County, OH · pop 7,761 · 36% of tract blocks fall in Grafton

Tract 39093095100, home to 7,761 residents in Grafton in Lorain County, scores 4.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #72,782 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $983 a month against an average household income of $89,097 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 12% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,908
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$89,097

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Grafton
Very High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#62 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#2,642 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grafton and the region

Centroid at 41.2499, -82.0286 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grafton scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grafton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grafton
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grafton
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grafton
3.7

How Grafton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grafton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 095100Grafton: 2.52.5Graftonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 93Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2006)
  • 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930951002002: 8 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2006: 19 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (1.81/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2018: 6 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grafton

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grafton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 93 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2006.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093095100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093095100?

Census tract 39093095100 in Grafton scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093095100?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093095100?

4.5% of residents in tract 39093095100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,761.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093095100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 18th, minority 39th, housing 39th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093095100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093095100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39093095100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39093095100 compare to Grafton overall?

Tract 39093095100 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Grafton at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grafton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grafton

Top eight tracts in Grafton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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