Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes at Sharrott Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Woodworth
Tract 39099813501 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,421 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Lakes at Sharrott Hill in Woodworth anchors census tract 39099813501, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,171 monthly, set against $86,569 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,477
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$86,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodworth and the region
Centroid at 40.9684, -80.6699 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes at Sharrott Hill scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodworth
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodworth
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodworth
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodworth
6.2
How The Lakes at Sharrott Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 2%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes at Sharrott Hill
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodworth, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099813501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099813501?
Census tract 39099813501 in the The Lakes at Sharrott Hill neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099813501?
Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099813501?
5.5% of residents in tract 39099813501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,421.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099813501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 41th, minority 2th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 39099813501 considered part of The Lakes at Sharrott Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099813501 fall within The Lakes at Sharrott Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099813501 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099813501 compare to Woodworth overall?
Tract 39099813501 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Woodworth at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodworth; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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