Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Newville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42041012900 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 1,359
In Newville, census tract 42041012900 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $884 monthly, set against $62,599 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units497
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$62,599
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newville and the region
Centroid at 40.1699, -77.4018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newville scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newville
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$884 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newville
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newville
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newville
4.6
How Newville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2003)
- 17Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041012900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012900?
Census tract 42041012900 in Newville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041012900?
Median gross rent is $884/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012900?
10.2% of residents in tract 42041012900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,359.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 48th, minority 16th, housing 25th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041012900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.02% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42041012900 compare to Newville overall?
Tract 42041012900 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Newville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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