Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101009200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,444 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 42101009200 in the Belmont area of Philadelphia, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,444 residents. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,423
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$54,271
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9602, -75.2075 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 649Total filings over 4 yrs
- 18.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2010)
- 118Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 129Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 649 evictions over 4 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6.
At $1,258 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands. The worst year on record was 2010, when 24.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 18.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101009200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101009200?
Census tract 42101009200 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101009200?
Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101009200?
24.1% of residents in tract 42101009200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,444.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101009200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 68th, minority 85th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 42101009200 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101009200 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101009200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 649 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101009200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.16% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101009200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101009200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101009200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101009200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Tioga Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Southwest Schuylkill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Nicetown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Powelton Village
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Wissinoming
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Belmont
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Allegheny West
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
East Germantown
8
/ 10 · High
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