Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
East Natick Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warwick
Tract 44003022100 ·
Kent County, RI · pop 5,567 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 44003022100 covers part of the East Natick area of Warwick, RI, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 6%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,378
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$102,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In East Natick
Moderate
Within parent city
24th percentile
#17 of 22 tracts In Warwick
Low
Within county
37th percentile
#25 of 39 tracts In Kent County
Low
Within state
30th percentile
#173 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warwick and the region
Centroid at 41.7148, -71.4667 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Natick scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warwick
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,571 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warwick
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warwick
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warwick
5.6
How East Natick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
26%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.7%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Natick
Against Kent County at 46.6%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
At $1,571 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Warwick commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44003022100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44003022100?
Census tract 44003022100 in the East Natick neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44003022100?
Median gross rent is $1,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44003022100?
3.8% of residents in tract 44003022100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44003022100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 55th, minority 25th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 44003022100 considered part of East Natick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44003022100 fall within East Natick (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 44003022100 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 44003022100 compare to Warwick overall?
Tract 44003022100 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Warwick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warwick
Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.