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Neighborhood · Warwick, RI

East Natick Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

East Natick maps to a single census tract in Warwick, RI, population 5,567. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 68% against 31.1% citywide, putting East Natick 36.6% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 38%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. At $1,571 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Warwick commands. That places it #12 of 17 neighborhoods in Warwick.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Potowomut and Buttonwoods score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
East Natick vs Warwick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.7% +118%
Warwick: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,571 +15%
Warwick: $1,363
Average HH income
$102,333 +17%
Warwick: $87,536
Poverty rate
3.8% -47%
Warwick: 7.1%
Renter share
17.1% -36%
Warwick: 26.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Natick and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why East Natick scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
3.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

East Natick vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Natick score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0East NatickNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in East Natick

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44003022100 4 5,567 68% $1,571
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Natick

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Natick

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Natick?

East Natick scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Natick compare to Warwick overall?

East Natick scores 0.6 points lower than Warwick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,571 vs $1,363.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Natick?

Average gross rent in East Natick is $1,571/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Natick residents are renters?

17% of East Natick households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Warwick). The neighborhood has 5,567 residents.
Q5

Is East Natick a high social-vulnerability area?

East Natick sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is East Natick for landlords?

East Natick carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Warwick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Natick?

East Natick has 6,534 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Natick

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Warwick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Natick.

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