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Neighborhood · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally

Thornton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cranston

Tract 44007014700 · Providence County, RI · pop 8,569 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 44007014700 sits in the Thornton neighborhood of Cranston, Rhode Island. It has a population of 8,569 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 53% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,057/month against a median household income of $53,720 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 27% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units3,076
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$53,720

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Thornton
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank — 69th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 17 tracts In Cranston
Elevated
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank — 35th percentileBottomTop
#95 of 145 tracts In Providence County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank — 42th percentileBottomTop
#143 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cranston and the region

Centroid at 41.7937, -71.4635 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thornton scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cranston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cranston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cranston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cranston
5.5

How Thornton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thornton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 014700Cranston: 5.35.3Cranstonparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 173Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2015)
  • 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 456Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 10 filings (0.85× baseline)2020-02-01: 13 filings (1.63× baseline)2020-03-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2020-07-01: 7 filings (0.78× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2020-10-01: 7 filings (0.78× baseline)2020-11-01: 13 filings (1.86× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-03-01: 9 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2021-05-01: 11 filings (1.19× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (1.10× baseline)2021-07-01: 11 filings (1.22× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.54× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2022-07-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 8 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2023-01-01: 13 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2023-03-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (1.19× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-02-01: 16 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (0.65× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-02-01: 7 filings (0.90× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (0.65× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (1.44× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (0.55× baseline)2026-01-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thornton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Tract · RI
Thornton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007014700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014700?

Census tract 44007014700 in the Thornton neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44007014700?

Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014700?

10.9% of residents in tract 44007014700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,569.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 74th.

Q5

Is tract 44007014700 considered part of Thornton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007014700 fall within Thornton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007014700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 44007014700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 44007014700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 44007014700 compare to Cranston overall?

Tract 44007014700 scores 5.8/10 — higher than the parent city of Cranston at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cranston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007014700 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cranston

Top eight tracts in Cranston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Tract · RI
Auburn
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Pocasset
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Knightsville
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Oaklawn
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
44007014501
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Sockanosset
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wayland
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Edgewood
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Parent city ↑
Cranston
5.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
Providence County
All tracts & cities in the county
Parent state ↑
Rhode Island
Statewide rollup · landlord law
Sibling tract →
Thornton
5.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
10 sub-signals · weighting · sources
Interactive map
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