Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Thornton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cranston
Tract 44007014700 · Providence County, RI · pop 8,569 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 44007014700 in the Thornton area of Cranston, RI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,569 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units3,076
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$53,720
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cranston and the region
Centroid at 41.7937, -71.4635 · click any tract to drill in
Why Thornton scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cranston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cranston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cranston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cranston
5.5
How Thornton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2015)
- 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 456Total filings 2020-21
- 5.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Thornton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 19.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Thornton
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Providence County average of 43.2%. At $1,057 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Cranston commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
It sits 0.9 points below the Providence County average of 5.7. The filing record is not thin: 173 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.2% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $53,720.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007014700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014700?
Census tract 44007014700 in the Thornton neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007014700?
Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014700?
10.9% of residents in tract 44007014700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,569.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 44007014700 considered part of Thornton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007014700 fall within Thornton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007014700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007014700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007014700 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007014700 compare to Cranston overall?
Tract 44007014700 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Cranston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cranston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007014700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cranston
Top eight tracts in Cranston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Auburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Elmwood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Edgewood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Meshanticut
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Knightsville
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Auburn
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Pocasset
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Sockanosset
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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