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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Jamestowne Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 10003014907 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,903 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 10003014907 belongs to the Jamestowne area of New Castle, Delaware. It is home to 4,903 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,499 monthly, set against $73,852 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 14% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,117
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$73,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Jamestowne
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Moderate
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#123 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Moderate
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,660 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle County and the region

Centroid at 39.6533, -75.6615 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jamestowne scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,499 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Jamestowne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jamestowne risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 014907County: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 564Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 11.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.4%Peak (2015)
  • 44Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030149072010: 46 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 61 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 69 filings (12.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 82 filings (14.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 99 filings (17.37/100 renter HHs)2016: 75 filings (15.59/100 renter HHs)2017: 53 filings (11.02/100 renter HHs)2018: 44 filings (9.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 226Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2020-08-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-02-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-07-01: 7 filings (1.12× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2024-03-01: 10 filings (13.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Jamestowne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jamestowne

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Delaware eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.79x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003014907

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014907?

Census tract 10003014907 in the Jamestowne neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003014907?

Median gross rent is $1,499/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014907?

6.5% of residents in tract 10003014907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,903.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 74th, minority 79th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 10003014907 considered part of Jamestowne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014907 fall within Jamestowne (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014907?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 564 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014907 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.92% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003014907 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003014907 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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