Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10005051015 ·
Sussex County, DE · pop 1,956 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 10005051015 covers the Bay Shore Hills area of Sussex, home to 1,956 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,425 monthly, set against $118,342 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 7%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share11.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$118,342
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Bay Shore Hills
Very Low
Within county
14th percentile
#64 of 74 tracts In Sussex County
Very Low
Within state
21th percentile
#205 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Low
National
15th percentile
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sussex County and the region
Centroid at 38.7025, -75.1502 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore Hills scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Bay Shore Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
8%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Shore Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.7%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
4.3%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
11.6%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore Hills
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Delaware eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sussex County average of 5.5 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10005051015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10005051015?
Census tract 10005051015 in the Bay Shore Hills neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10005051015?
Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10005051015?
3.7% of residents in tract 10005051015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,956.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10005051015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 11th, minority 23th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 10005051015 considered part of Bay Shore Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10005051015 fall within Bay Shore Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 10005051015 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.