Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Ancient Oak Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057010105 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,258 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12057010105 runs through the Ancient Oak area of Hillsborough. With 5,258 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,173 a month while the average household earns $81,738 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,731
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$81,738

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ancient Oak
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#2,345 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#49,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hillsborough and the region

Centroid at 28.0531, -82.2190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ancient Oak scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,173 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Ancient Oak compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ancient Oak risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 010105County: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 125Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak (2002)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570101052000: 19 filings (12.18/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2002: 28 filings (17.95/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (8.97/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ancient Oak

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 125 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.0% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010105?

Census tract 12057010105 in the Ancient Oak neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010105?

Median gross rent is $1,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010105?

16.1% of residents in tract 12057010105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,258.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 53th, minority 58th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010105 considered part of Ancient Oak?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010105 fall within Ancient Oak (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.95% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010105 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Related