Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Citrus Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Keystone

Tract 12057011518 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,110 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Citrus Green area of Keystone for landlords? Census tract 12057011518 scores 3.9/10, the Lower tier. That is riskier than about 11% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 19% of renter households, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,358 a month against an average household income of $149,327 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,493
Renter share7.2%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$149,327

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Citrus Green
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Keystone
Moderate
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#321 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#4,951 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keystone and the region

Centroid at 28.1164, -82.6215 · click any tract to drill in

Why Citrus Green scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keystone
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keystone
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keystone
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keystone
4.7

How Citrus Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Citrus Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 011518Keystone: 2.12.1Keystoneparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.1%Peak (2011)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570115182000: 3 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2001: 3 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (12.12/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 13Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Citrus Green

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keystone, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.1% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011518

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011518?

Census tract 12057011518 in the Citrus Green neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011518?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011518?

5.1% of residents in tract 12057011518 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,110.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011518?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 24th, minority 41th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011518 considered part of Citrus Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011518 fall within Citrus Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011518?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057011518 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.78% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011518 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011518 compare to Keystone overall?

Tract 12057011518 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Keystone at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keystone; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keystone

Top eight tracts in Keystone ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related