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Neighborhood · Ranked #69,023 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12095017109 · Orange, FL · pop 5,494 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Lower-tier score of 3.8/10 for census tract 12095017109 reflects conditions in Bay Hill in Bay Hill, Florida. That is riskier than about 9% of US census tracts.

12% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,508 monthly, set against $159,821 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 13% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,018
Renter share14.4%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$159,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay Hill
Moderate
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileBottomTop
#245 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileBottomTop
#3,251 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Hill and the region

Centroid at 28.4519, -81.5114 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Hill scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Hill
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,508 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Hill
2.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Hill
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Hill
2.4

How Bay Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 017109Bay Hill: 2.72.7Bay Hillparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 34Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 1.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2003)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950171092000: 6 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (1.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.39/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 9 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Hill

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.2 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 34 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095017109

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017109?

Census tract 12095017109 in the Bay Hill neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095017109?

Median gross rent is $2,508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017109?

1.2% of residents in tract 12095017109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017109?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 24th, minority 45th, housing 5th.

Q5

Is tract 12095017109 considered part of Bay Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017109 fall within Bay Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095017109?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12095017109 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.61% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12095017109 compare to Bay Hill overall?

Tract 12095017109 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Bay Hill at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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