Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #70,829 of 84,120 nationally
Captain’s Cove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025122 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,201 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up the Captain's Cove area of Pinellas, census tract 12103025122 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,938 a month against an average household income of $86,938 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share9.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$86,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pinellas and the region
Centroid at 27.8562, -82.8360 · click any tract to drill in
Why Captain’s Cove scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Captain’s Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 113Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2003)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 24Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Captain’s Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Captain’s Cove
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025122?
Census tract 12103025122 in the Captain’s Cove neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025122?
Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025122?
4.9% of residents in tract 12103025122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,201.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 80th, minority 25th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025122 considered part of Captain’s Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025122 fall within Captain’s Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025122?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025122 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.88% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025122 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
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