Eviction Risk in Thorngate , Cumming
Tract 13117130410 · Forsyth County, GA · pop 8,799 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 13117130410 sits in the Thorngate neighborhood of Cumming, Georgia. It has a population of 8,799 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 57% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 28% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,807/month against a median household income of $106,563 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 9,552 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 10.6%
- White (non-Hispanic) 61.5%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 7.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 11.9%
- Other / Multiracial 8.3%
How the 5.8/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.0 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 3.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.0 | Cumming (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 7.9 | Cumming (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 1.9 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.2 | Cumming (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.5 | Cumming (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.9 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 1 yrs
- 14.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2003)
- 40Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
About tract 13117130410
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13117130410?
Census tract 13117130410 in the Thorngate neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 13117130410?
Median gross rent is $1,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 13117130410?
6.0% of residents in tract 13117130410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,799.
How socially vulnerable is tract 13117130410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 46th, minority 56th, housing 65th.
Is tract 13117130410 considered part of Thorngate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13117130410 fall within Thorngate (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13117130410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13117130410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.49% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 13117130410 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.