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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,863 of 84,120 nationally

Furnace Branch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ferndale

Tract 24003750804 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 24003750804 runs through the Furnace Branch neighborhood of Ferndale. With 4,196 residents, it scores 6.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #9,396 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,742 a month while the average household earns $80,457 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 5% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$80,457

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Furnace Branch
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 3 tracts In Ferndale
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileBottomTop
#35 of 129 tracts In Anne Arundel County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileBottomTop
#581 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ferndale and the region

Centroid at 39.1815, -76.6227 · click any tract to drill in

Why Furnace Branch scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ferndale
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,742 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferndale
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferndale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferndale
3.5

How Furnace Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Furnace Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.97.9This tracttract 750804Ferndale: 7.97.9Ferndaleparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.77.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Furnace Branch

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ferndale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anne Arundel County average of 6.4 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24003750804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003750804?

Census tract 24003750804 in the Furnace Branch neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24003750804?

Median gross rent is $1,742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24003750804?

1.5% of residents in tract 24003750804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,196.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24003750804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 65th, minority 53th, housing 44th.

Q5

Is tract 24003750804 considered part of Furnace Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003750804 fall within Furnace Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 24003750804 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 24003750804 compare to Ferndale overall?

Tract 24003750804 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Ferndale at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 24003750804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ferndale

Top eight tracts in Ferndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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