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Census Tract · Ranked #37,394 of 84,120 nationally

Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25021405100 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 5,886 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Dover

Census tract 25021405100 runs through Dover. With 5,886 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,500 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,912
Renter share3.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileBottomTop
#120 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileBottomTop
#1,394 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
National
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileBottomTop
#37,394 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 42.2342, -71.2912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dover scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,500 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
4.5

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dover risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 405100Dover: 5.05.0Doverparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.16.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dover

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021405100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021405100?

Census tract 25021405100 in Dover scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021405100?

Median gross rent is $2,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021405100?

2.0% of residents in tract 25021405100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,886.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021405100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 40th, minority 38th, housing 5th.

Q5

What share of households in tract 25021405100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q6

How does tract 25021405100 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 25021405100 scores 5/10, right in line with the parent city of Dover at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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