Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Shorewood Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27053027503 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,239 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 27053027503, home to 4,239 residents in the Shorewood Oaks area of Shorewood, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #29,923 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,007 monthly, set against $190,365 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 2%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share5.9%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$190,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Shorewood Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Shorewood
Very High
Within county
16th percentile
#276 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very Low
Within state
12th percentile
#1,319 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shorewood and the region
Centroid at 44.9049, -93.6178 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shorewood Oaks scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shorewood
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,007 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shorewood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shorewood
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shorewood
5.6
How Shorewood Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
12%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
25Total filings over 5 yrs
3.53%Avg annual filing rate
6.7%Peak (2009)
4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
5Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.3%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shorewood Oaks
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shorewood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.29x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053027503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053027503?
Census tract 27053027503 in the Shorewood Oaks neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053027503?
Median gross rent is $2,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053027503?
6.1% of residents in tract 27053027503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,239.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053027503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 29th, minority 17th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 27053027503 considered part of Shorewood Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053027503 fall within Shorewood Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053027503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053027503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.53% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053027503 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053027503 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053027503 compare to Shorewood overall?
Tract 27053027503 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Shorewood at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shorewood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shorewood
Top eight tracts in Shorewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.