Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Manhattan Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 30031000400 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 5,794 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Manhattan
How risky is Manhattan for landlords? Census tract 30031000400 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 32% of US census tracts.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,653 monthly, set against $92,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,446
Renter share20.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$92,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
National
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manhattan and the region
Centroid at 45.7447, -111.3736 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manhattan scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manhattan
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,653 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manhattan
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manhattan
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manhattan
5.8
How Manhattan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2000)
- 3Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manhattan
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manhattan eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000400?
Census tract 30031000400 in Manhattan scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000400?
Median gross rent is $1,653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000400?
5.1% of residents in tract 30031000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 38th, minority 6th, housing 66th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031000400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 30031000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000400 compare to Manhattan overall?
Tract 30031000400 scores 2.1/10, higher than the parent city of Manhattan at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manhattan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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