Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Cotswold Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34025806501 ·
Monmouth County, NJ · pop 4,577 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Cotswold in Monmouth anchors census tract 34025806501, which lands at 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,401 monthly, set against $68,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%Stable renters 31%Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share70.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$68,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Cotswold
Moderate
Within county
78th percentile
#34 of 154 tracts In Monmouth County
High
Within state
58th percentile
#925 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
53th percentile
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Monmouth County and the region
Centroid at 40.2664, -74.0588 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cotswold scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Cotswold compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
76%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
681Total filings over 2 yrs
30.60%Avg annual filing rate
37.4%Peak (2013)
266Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.1%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
13.1%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cotswold
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monmouth County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 681 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 30.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.4% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34025806501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025806501?
Census tract 34025806501 in the Cotswold neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34025806501?
Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025806501?
12.6% of residents in tract 34025806501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025806501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 34025806501 considered part of Cotswold?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025806501 fall within Cotswold (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34025806501?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 681 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34025806501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.60% of renter households, peaking at 37.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34025806501 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.