Census Tract · Ranked #15,778 of 84,120 nationally

Morris Plains Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027042302 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,749

Census tract 34027042302 belongs to Morris Plains, New Jersey. It is home to 3,749 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #21,462 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,827 monthly, set against $148,646 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,612

Renter share25.4%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate2.3%

Median income$148,646

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morris Plains and the region

Centroid at 40.8388, -74.4742 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morris Plains scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Morris Plains

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,827 rent vs county FMR

8.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Morris Plains

4.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Morris Plains

5.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Morris Plains

3.4

How Morris Plains compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

16Total filings over 2 yrs
6.50%Avg annual filing rate
6.5%Peak (2017)
8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.8%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.1%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
11.9%Frequent mental distress
18.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morris Plains

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morris Plains, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 16 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 6.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2017.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027042302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027042302?

Census tract 34027042302 in Morris Plains scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34027042302?

Median gross rent is $2,827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027042302?

2.3% of residents in tract 34027042302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,749.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027042302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 32th, minority 33th, housing 23th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027042302?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027042302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.50% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 34027042302 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34027042302 compare to Morris Plains overall?

Tract 34027042302 scores 6.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Morris Plains at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morris Plains; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Morris Plains

Top eight tracts in Morris Plains ranked by composite eviction-risk score.