Census Tract · Ranked #17,916 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027045901 · Morris County, NJ · pop 1,480

Tract 34027045901 covers Chester in New Jersey. Home to 1,480 residents, it scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,337 a month while the average household earns $152,578 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 11% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units549

Renter share23.7%

SVI overall0.36

Poverty rate7.5%

Median income$152,578

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 40.7906, -74.6901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chester

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.5% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,337 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chester

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chester

5.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chester

6.1

How Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

14Total filings over 2 yrs
4.73%Avg annual filing rate
5.4%Peak (2018)
8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.9%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
22.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Morris County average of 5.8 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027045901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027045901?

Census tract 34027045901 in Chester scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34027045901?

Median gross rent is $1,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027045901?

7.5% of residents in tract 34027045901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,480.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027045901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 38th, minority 26th, housing 68th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027045901?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027045901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 34027045901 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34027045901 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 34027045901 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.