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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Audubon Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029009112 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Audubon area of Erie, census tract 36029009112 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,093 monthly, set against $51,215 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 28% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share68.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$51,215

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Audubon
Very High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#97 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6,289 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie County and the region

Centroid at 43.0172, -78.7768 · click any tract to drill in

Why Audubon scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,093 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
State baseline
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Audubon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Audubon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 009112County: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Audubon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Audubon

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New York eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009112

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009112?

Census tract 36029009112 in the Audubon neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009112?

Median gross rent is $1,093/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009112?

26.8% of residents in tract 36029009112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009112?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 88th, minority 17th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 36029009112 considered part of Audubon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009112 fall within Audubon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029009112 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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