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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Hope Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051001603 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 3,618 · 24% of tract blocks fall in Hope Mills

In Hope Mills in Cumberland County, census tract 37051001603 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,993 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,018 monthly, set against $46,861 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 25% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,403
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.2%
Median income$46,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Hope Mills
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#363 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hope Mills and the region

Centroid at 35.0010, -78.9230 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hope Mills scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hope Mills
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
25.2% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,018 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hope Mills
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hope Mills
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hope Mills
6.5

How Hope Mills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hope Mills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 001603Hope Mills: 2.92.9Hope Millsparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,546Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 14.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.6%Peak (2002)
  • 64Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510016032002: 158 filings (32.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 118 filings (24.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 133 filings (12.64/100 renter HHs)2006: 137 filings (13.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 115 filings (10.93/100 renter HHs)2008: 96 filings (9.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 99 filings (9.41/100 renter HHs)2010: 100 filings (16.03/100 renter HHs)2011: 98 filings (16.47/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 84 filings (14.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 84 filings (14.12/100 renter HHs)2015: 73 filings (12.27/100 renter HHs)2016: 59 filings (9.10/100 renter HHs)2017: 58 filings (8.95/100 renter HHs)2018: 64 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hope Mills

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hope Mills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,546 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 14.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.6% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001603?

Census tract 37051001603 in Hope Mills scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001603?

Median gross rent is $1,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001603?

25.2% of residents in tract 37051001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,618.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 73th, housing 83th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051001603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,546 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051001603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.05% of renter households, peaking at 32.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051001603 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051001603 compare to Hope Mills overall?

Tract 37051001603 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Hope Mills at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hope Mills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hope Mills

Top eight tracts in Hope Mills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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