Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Horace Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 38017040503 · Cass County, ND · pop 3,464 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Horace
Here is how census tract 38017040503, in Horace eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 2.6/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 3,464. That places it near the bottom of the national scale, one of the easier tracts in the country for landlords.
About 19% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $963 a month against an average household income of $145,801 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$145,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
National
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Horace and the region
Centroid at 46.7552, -96.9053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Horace scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Horace
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Horace
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Horace
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Horace
2.6
How Horace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Horace
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Horace eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cass County average of 3.2 and below the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017040503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017040503?
Census tract 38017040503 in Horace scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017040503?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017040503?
4.4% of residents in tract 38017040503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017040503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 18th, minority 17th, housing 19th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 38017040503 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 38017040503 compare to Horace overall?
Tract 38017040503 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Horace at 1.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Horace eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related