Neighborhood · Ranked #59,117 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39035195900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 4,282 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 39035195900 belongs to Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District in Chagrin Falls, Ohio. It is home to 4,282 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,195 a month against an average household income of $97,500 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units2,002

Renter share19.8%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate3.3%

Median income$97,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chagrin Falls and the region

Centroid at 41.4340, -81.3917 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chagrin Falls

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

3.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,195 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chagrin Falls

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chagrin Falls

4.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chagrin Falls

5.2

How Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
29%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

84Total filings over 12 yrs
1.27%Avg annual filing rate
1.6%Peak (2015)
4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings dropped 56% over the past 12 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.9%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
5.2%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
3.7%No health insurance
11.9%Frequent mental distress
22.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chagrin Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 1.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.6% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035195900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035195900?

Census tract 39035195900 in the Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035195900?

Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035195900?

3.3% of residents in tract 39035195900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,282.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035195900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 58th, minority 16th, housing 38th.

Is tract 39035195900 considered part of Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035195900 fall within Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035195900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035195900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035195900 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035195900 compare to Chagrin Falls overall?

Tract 39035195900 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chagrin Falls at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chagrin Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035195900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.