Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39035195900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 4,282 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
39035195900 is a census tract in the Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District area of Chagrin Falls, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,002
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$97,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chagrin Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.4340, -81.3917 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chagrin Falls
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chagrin Falls
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chagrin Falls
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chagrin Falls
5.2
How Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 84Total filings over 12 yrs
- 1.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2015)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District
Cost burden runs 58% here against 43.0% across Cuyahoga County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.6 points below the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6. Food insecurity runs 5.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 84 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035195900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035195900?
Census tract 39035195900 in the Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035195900?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035195900?
3.3% of residents in tract 39035195900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,282.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035195900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 58th, minority 16th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 39035195900 considered part of Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035195900 fall within Chagrin Falls Triangle Park Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035195900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035195900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035195900 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035195900 compare to Chagrin Falls overall?
Tract 39035195900 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chagrin Falls at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chagrin Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035195900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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