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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Bay View Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39043041702 · Erie County, OH · pop 2,500 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Bay View

Census tract 39043041702 sits in Bay View in Erie County, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,041 a month while the average household earns $67,731 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$67,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay View
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 19 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#2,004 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay View and the region

Centroid at 41.4449, -82.8285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay View scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay View
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,041 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay View
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay View
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay View
3.1

How Bay View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay View risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 041702Bay View: 2.52.5Bay Viewparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay View

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay View, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.2 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39043041702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043041702?

Census tract 39043041702 in Bay View scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39043041702?

Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39043041702?

9.0% of residents in tract 39043041702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,500.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39043041702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 21th, minority 14th, housing 72th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 39043041702 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39043041702 compare to Bay View overall?

Tract 39043041702 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bay View at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay View; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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