Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Marcola Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039000200 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,446 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Marcola
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 41039000200 in Marcola ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,446 residents. That is riskier than roughly 28% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,153 a month against an average household income of $97,754 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,008
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$97,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Marcola and the region
Centroid at 44.1771, -122.7858 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marcola scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Marcola
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,153 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marcola
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marcola
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marcola
4.6
How Marcola compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2002)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marcola
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marcola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lane County average of 6.1 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.2% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000200?
Census tract 41039000200 in Marcola scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039000200?
Median gross rent is $1,153/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000200?
8.1% of residents in tract 41039000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,446.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 52th, minority 12th, housing 33th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039000200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039000200 compare to Marcola overall?
Tract 41039000200 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Marcola at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marcola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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