Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Tullytown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42017105900 · Bucks County, PA · pop 2,321
Eviction risk in Tullytown centers on tract 42017105900, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,321 residents. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,189 a month against an average household income of $71,118 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units934
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$71,118
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tullytown and the region
Centroid at 40.1408, -74.8110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tullytown scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tullytown
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tullytown
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tullytown
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tullytown
5.4
How Tullytown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 270Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.4%Peak (2001)
- 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tullytown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tullytown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bucks County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 270 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.4% of renter households in 2001.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42017105900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017105900?
Census tract 42017105900 in Tullytown scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42017105900?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42017105900?
12.8% of residents in tract 42017105900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42017105900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 19th, minority 12th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017105900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 270 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017105900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.35% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42017105900 compare to Tullytown overall?
Tract 42017105900 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tullytown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tullytown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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