Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Estherton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42043021800 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 2,181 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
In the Estherton neighborhood of Dauphin, census tract 42043021800 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $748 monthly, set against $79,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$79,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dauphin County and the region
Centroid at 40.3183, -76.9062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estherton scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$748 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Estherton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 61Total filings over 6 yrs
- 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2002)
- 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Estherton
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021800?
Census tract 42043021800 in the Estherton neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021800?
Median gross rent is $748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021800?
13.0% of residents in tract 42043021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,181.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 18th, minority 56th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021800 considered part of Estherton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021800 fall within Estherton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.47% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Was tract 42043021800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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