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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Elsa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48215024403 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 5,800 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Elsa

For landlords sizing up Elsa, census tract 48215024403 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $659 a month while the average household earns $47,579 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 9% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,886
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$47,579

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elsa
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#146 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Low
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#1,336 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elsa and the region

Centroid at 26.3006, -97.9933 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elsa scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elsa
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$659 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsa
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsa
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsa
7.6

How Elsa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elsa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 024403Elsa: 2.32.3Elsaparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elsa

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elsa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215024403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215024403?

Census tract 48215024403 in Elsa scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215024403?

Median gross rent is $659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215024403?

16.3% of residents in tract 48215024403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,800.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215024403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 96th, minority 99th, housing 46th.
Q5

How does tract 48215024403 compare to Elsa overall?

Tract 48215024403 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elsa at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elsa

Top eight tracts in Elsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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