Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Mount Hermon Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51085320801 ·
Hanover County, VA · pop 2,838 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51085320801 (the Mount Hermon Heights neighborhood of Hanover, Virginia) comes in at 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.
13% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,655 a month while the average household earns $128,438 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 5%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units906
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$128,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mount Hermon Heights
Moderate
Within county
50th percentile
#13 of 25 tracts In Hanover County
Moderate
Within state
34th percentile
#1,449 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
National
12th percentile
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hanover County and the region
Centroid at 37.7252, -77.4282 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mount Hermon Heights scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,655 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Mount Hermon Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
24%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.6%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.6%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mount Hermon Heights
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hanover County average of 5.2 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085320801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320801?
Census tract 51085320801 in the Mount Hermon Heights neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085320801?
Median gross rent is $1,655/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320801?
6.2% of residents in tract 51085320801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 3th, minority 37th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51085320801 considered part of Mount Hermon Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51085320801 fall within Mount Hermon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51085320801 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.