Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Fayette Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087200805 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,443 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 51087200805 reflects conditions in the Fayette Park area of Henrico, Virginia. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.
26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $913 monthly, set against $49,442 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$49,442
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Henrico County and the region
Centroid at 37.5921, -77.4182 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fayette Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Fayette Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 670Total filings over 2 yrs
- 34.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.6%Peak (2016)
- 398Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 17.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.3%Food insecurity
- 29.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.7%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fayette Park
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 670 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 34.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 43.6% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200805?
Census tract 51087200805 in the Fayette Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200805?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200805?
23.4% of residents in tract 51087200805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,443.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 85th, minority 92th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200805 considered part of Fayette Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200805 fall within Fayette Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200805?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 670 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.91% of renter households, peaking at 43.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200805 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
Was tract 51087200805 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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